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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.68+1.68vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.93-1.07vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.31+0.05vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.29+0.04vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.27+0.67vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.03+0.82vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.80-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-1.35-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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1.93Northwestern University1.930.5%1st Place
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4.05Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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5.04Marquette University-0.290.1%1st Place
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6.67Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.82Miami University-2.030.0%1st Place
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5.98Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 19.0% | 24.5% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 10.2% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 47.6% | 27.1% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 9.8% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Karl Wagerson | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 23.4% | 17.0% |
| Jacob Maher | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 20.3% | 50.9% |
| natalie dugan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Riley | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 26.1% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.