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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.68+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.04+0.01vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.31+0.05vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.29+0.01vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.80-0.03vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.27-0.24vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.03-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-1.35-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Northwestern University1.930.5%1st Place
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3.71University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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4.05Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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5.01Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.97Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.76Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.78Miami University-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 47.2% | 29.2% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 10.4% | 16.8% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 20.0% | 22.0% | 22.8% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 9.3% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| natalie dugan | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 16.8% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 25.8% | 17.1% |
| Jacob Maher | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 50.8% |
| Benjamin Riley | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 26.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.