Race 2A

cayuga-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gabby Rizika 14.2% 14.3% 11.3% 13.2% 10.5% 11.1% 7.4% 6.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Blake Stackpoole 4.9% 5.1% 6.6% 7.4% 6.2% 8.4% 8.6% 9.9% 9.8% 10.4% 10.9% 7.1% 4.7%
Clark Uhl 20.1% 17.5% 14.3% 13.6% 11.8% 7.8% 6.1% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Gerard Eastman 9.0% 7.8% 9.4% 10.5% 9.2% 10.7% 9.4% 8.9% 8.1% 7.6% 5.1% 3.3% 1.0%
Phillip Schofield 9.9% 12.1% 11.0% 9.3% 9.8% 9.0% 10.5% 10.0% 6.3% 5.9% 3.4% 2.2% 0.6%
Charles Kilvert 11.8% 12.6% 12.6% 11.3% 11.9% 10.3% 7.3% 6.7% 6.3% 4.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Ella Withington 7.2% 5.8% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 7.6% 8.7% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 8.7% 7.4% 3.8%
Sarah Smith 4.2% 6.2% 4.6% 6.0% 5.6% 6.2% 10.8% 8.9% 9.2% 12.6% 10.2% 9.6% 5.9%
Caroline Martocci 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 3.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.1% 8.4% 14.2% 16.2% 25.9%
Brooke Shachoy 9.0% 7.4% 9.1% 9.2% 10.4% 9.8% 8.1% 8.6% 9.3% 7.1% 6.2% 4.1% 1.7%
Tom O'Shea 2.8% 4.4% 5.9% 5.3% 6.1% 5.7% 7.6% 8.7% 11.3% 11.7% 9.9% 11.8% 8.8%
Greg Moore 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% 1.7% 3.7% 4.5% 4.1% 5.8% 6.0% 8.3% 12.4% 17.7% 30.1%
Alex Fowkes 2.9% 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 8.4% 8.7% 13.8% 18.3% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.