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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+0.54vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+1.46vs Predicted
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3Auburn University1.12+2.14vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.40-0.61vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-0.56vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.85-1.92vs Predicted
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8American University0.36-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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3.46Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.14Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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3.39College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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4.44Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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4.08Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.95American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 62.7% | 25.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 10.2% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Hodges | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 27.6% | 24.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.4% | 21.6% | 23.1% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 4.8% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 10.6% |
| Alexander Smolka | 6.7% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 6.3% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 18.8% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.