Race 6A

cayuga-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Clark Uhl 20.3% 17.3% 16.6% 12.7% 9.8% 8.6% 6.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Phillip Schofield 9.1% 11.2% 10.4% 9.5% 11.5% 9.6% 10.5% 7.4% 7.6% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6%
Blake Stackpoole 4.1% 5.1% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 10.3% 11.2% 10.0% 9.9% 8.1% 4.3%
Gabby Rizika 13.8% 13.9% 14.0% 12.0% 8.4% 11.5% 7.8% 8.0% 4.8% 3.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.4%
Charles Kilvert 13.0% 12.3% 13.3% 11.0% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 7.7% 5.6% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4%
Sarah Smith 5.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 7.9% 6.5% 7.9% 9.1% 10.7% 9.5% 11.2% 10.8% 5.5%
Gerard Eastman 10.1% 9.5% 8.1% 8.9% 10.3% 10.9% 8.9% 9.0% 7.5% 8.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.4%
Brooke Shachoy 7.8% 9.0% 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 9.6% 10.5% 8.5% 9.6% 7.4% 6.5% 2.8% 1.2%
Caroline Martocci 1.7% 3.4% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 3.4% 4.1% 5.2% 6.4% 8.3% 14.1% 18.2% 24.9%
Tom O'Shea 5.0% 4.1% 3.3% 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 8.1% 9.0% 7.6% 12.0% 11.5% 12.3% 10.4%
Alex Fowkes 2.7% 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 6.0% 5.7% 4.7% 7.9% 8.3% 10.5% 13.1% 14.0% 16.4%
Ella Withington 5.6% 5.4% 4.9% 8.6% 7.3% 7.1% 10.1% 8.6% 10.4% 10.3% 9.2% 7.7% 4.8%
Greg Moore 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.0% 5.8% 7.9% 8.8% 11.2% 18.4% 29.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.