Race 7A

cayuga-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gabby Rizika 13.5% 14.5% 13.6% 11.0% 11.2% 9.5% 7.8% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Phillip Schofield 11.0% 9.9% 10.1% 10.8% 11.2% 8.9% 10.1% 7.2% 8.0% 5.7% 4.0% 2.4% 0.7%
Tom O'Shea 3.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.4% 5.1% 6.6% 7.9% 7.3% 8.9% 12.6% 12.9% 13.7% 8.6%
Alex Fowkes 2.3% 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 4.0% 5.3% 7.7% 9.2% 9.4% 13.4% 16.8% 16.3%
Blake Stackpoole 6.1% 5.8% 6.8% 6.9% 6.7% 7.3% 8.8% 9.3% 10.2% 10.5% 10.1% 7.7% 3.8%
Sarah Smith 4.8% 6.0% 5.2% 4.8% 6.6% 7.6% 7.7% 9.4% 11.1% 8.7% 11.6% 9.5% 7.0%
Ella Withington 6.8% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 8.7% 8.0% 10.2% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 6.8% 3.8%
Charles Kilvert 12.2% 11.5% 11.1% 12.5% 11.6% 10.5% 9.5% 6.6% 6.2% 3.4% 2.4% 1.9% 0.6%
Clark Uhl 19.6% 19.0% 14.6% 13.1% 10.1% 8.8% 5.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Martocci 2.8% 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9% 8.1% 10.4% 10.8% 16.9% 25.3%
Gerard Eastman 8.8% 8.4% 11.1% 10.2% 9.8% 10.3% 10.0% 8.9% 6.4% 7.8% 4.4% 2.8% 1.1%
Greg Moore 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 1.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 6.5% 6.1% 8.2% 11.2% 17.2% 30.8%
Brooke Shachoy 6.8% 7.9% 8.5% 8.8% 9.4% 10.3% 10.1% 9.5% 8.5% 9.1% 6.0% 3.3% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.