Race 9A

cayuga-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Clark Uhl 20.6% 17.4% 18.2% 11.1% 10.0% 7.3% 6.4% 3.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Gabby Rizika 13.7% 14.2% 13.3% 12.8% 11.2% 10.2% 6.2% 6.9% 5.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Caroline Martocci 2.4% 1.7% 2.3% 2.5% 4.1% 3.6% 4.9% 6.5% 7.7% 9.7% 12.3% 18.5% 23.8%
Ella Withington 4.7% 6.3% 6.5% 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% 9.9% 8.1% 11.2% 10.4% 10.0% 6.8% 4.3%
Blake Stackpoole 5.9% 6.0% 6.1% 7.2% 6.7% 9.7% 6.3% 9.4% 10.6% 10.8% 9.0% 7.9% 4.4%
Tom O'Shea 4.0% 4.7% 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 7.5% 10.8% 10.1% 12.0% 11.3% 10.9%
Alex Fowkes 4.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.1% 4.4% 4.6% 7.2% 6.1% 6.8% 10.3% 12.7% 16.8% 16.9%
Brooke Shachoy 8.3% 8.2% 8.7% 8.5% 9.7% 9.1% 10.5% 11.6% 7.6% 7.2% 5.5% 3.5% 1.6%
Gerard Eastman 8.2% 9.1% 8.7% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 10.0% 9.5% 7.2% 6.9% 5.8% 3.9% 1.6%
Sarah Smith 5.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.4% 7.2% 5.7% 8.4% 8.7% 8.9% 11.5% 10.6% 9.8% 7.2%
Greg Moore 2.2% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 4.4% 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 8.0% 8.1% 11.9% 17.3% 27.4%
Phillip Schofield 9.5% 10.2% 10.7% 9.7% 9.7% 11.6% 9.3% 8.0% 7.7% 6.3% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0%
Charles Kilvert 10.8% 12.6% 10.7% 12.6% 10.1% 11.0% 9.2% 8.4% 5.1% 4.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.