Race 10A

cayuga-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gerard Eastman 8.0% 8.7% 9.6% 10.0% 8.3% 10.2% 11.3% 9.3% 8.2% 6.7% 5.0% 3.5% 1.2%
Alex Fowkes 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.4% 4.0% 6.5% 4.8% 5.1% 8.7% 11.3% 14.3% 15.0% 17.1%
Blake Stackpoole 4.5% 5.4% 6.0% 6.7% 7.7% 7.7% 9.5% 10.1% 9.6% 11.1% 9.7% 8.0% 4.0%
Clark Uhl 20.5% 18.2% 15.4% 12.1% 10.5% 8.8% 5.1% 5.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Brooke Shachoy 8.5% 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 10.8% 8.4% 7.8% 4.9% 3.7% 1.5%
Phillip Schofield 9.8% 11.1% 10.7% 11.1% 10.8% 9.9% 11.2% 5.7% 6.8% 5.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Charles Kilvert 13.6% 10.7% 12.2% 11.1% 11.4% 8.9% 9.1% 8.2% 5.6% 4.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Caroline Martocci 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.5% 4.7% 6.5% 8.2% 10.1% 12.2% 16.3% 23.6%
Sarah Smith 5.0% 3.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 6.9% 8.7% 9.9% 12.2% 12.0% 9.5% 6.8%
Tom O'Shea 4.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 6.0% 8.4% 7.9% 10.7% 9.5% 10.5% 13.0% 10.7%
Gabby Rizika 14.6% 15.7% 12.8% 12.4% 11.9% 9.7% 7.5% 6.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Ella Withington 5.1% 5.3% 6.3% 7.8% 7.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.0% 11.2% 8.5% 10.2% 7.6% 5.2%
Greg Moore 1.7% 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 5.8% 6.7% 9.1% 11.2% 18.9% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.