Race 12A

cayuga-lake-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Shachoy 7.8% 7.8% 9.3% 9.1% 9.7% 9.0% 10.0% 10.3% 7.6% 8.8% 5.7% 3.6% 1.3%
Clark Uhl 20.6% 16.9% 16.6% 12.7% 10.7% 7.9% 4.8% 4.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Ella Withington 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 6.7% 7.0% 8.7% 10.8% 11.2% 10.8% 8.2% 7.5% 3.5%
Gabby Rizika 14.0% 14.8% 12.7% 10.6% 11.4% 10.4% 8.2% 7.0% 4.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Charles Kilvert 13.1% 12.3% 11.5% 11.4% 10.9% 10.5% 9.0% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Tom O'Shea 4.3% 3.3% 4.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.6% 7.6% 8.2% 10.2% 10.3% 13.5% 12.1% 8.6%
Phillip Schofield 11.7% 10.8% 9.5% 9.4% 11.1% 11.7% 8.0% 8.6% 6.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.9%
Gerard Eastman 8.5% 9.3% 8.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.6% 10.0% 8.4% 8.8% 7.5% 4.2% 3.5% 1.1%
Sarah Smith 4.5% 4.8% 4.5% 7.2% 5.5% 6.9% 7.5% 8.7% 10.5% 11.3% 11.2% 10.0% 7.4%
Alex Fowkes 3.0% 3.6% 3.0% 4.4% 3.6% 4.7% 6.6% 6.4% 8.8% 9.7% 13.5% 15.7% 17.0%
Blake Stackpoole 4.7% 6.5% 8.2% 6.6% 7.8% 7.5% 9.3% 9.9% 10.1% 9.3% 9.5% 6.9% 3.7%
Greg Moore 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 4.7% 5.9% 5.2% 7.5% 12.7% 18.1% 30.5%
Caroline Martocci 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.6% 5.2% 7.4% 9.0% 12.8% 18.0% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.