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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University0.59+4.60vs Predicted
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2Clemson University2.16+1.51vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+0.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.93-1.55vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.30-1.66vs Predicted
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6Auburn University0.45-0.13vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.12-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6American University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.51Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.76Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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2.45College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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5.87Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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3.47Washington College2.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leigh Cramer | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 30.1% | 38.2% |
| Drew Lisicki | 14.1% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 12.8% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Warren | 32.9% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Hause | 16.8% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Robert Dye | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 24.6% | 48.4% |
| Hadley Burnham | 16.3% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.