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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+3.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+3.96vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+2.39vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+1.41vs Predicted
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52.31+1.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.67+2.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14-2.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.31vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97-3.89vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.20-3.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.752.310.1%1st Place
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8.32Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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4.45Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.11Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.49Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Hibben | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| John Ped | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 34.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Christian Filter | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 12.7% |
| William Bedford | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.