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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Karnovsky 13.5% 14.8% 13.3% 12.4% 9.8% 11.2% 9.3% 8.3% 4.0% 2.6% 0.8%
Charlie Hibben 8.8% 7.9% 9.4% 8.0% 10.2% 9.4% 12.4% 9.3% 9.9% 8.7% 6.0%
Peter Lynn 10.9% 10.3% 10.5% 8.9% 11.6% 10.1% 9.8% 10.3% 8.8% 5.0% 3.8%
Josh Dochoda 10.5% 10.1% 9.3% 9.8% 12.2% 11.4% 9.9% 9.7% 8.2% 5.2% 3.7%
John Ped 6.7% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 8.1% 9.9% 8.1% 10.4% 11.2% 13.9% 11.8%
Christophe Chaumont 2.8% 2.9% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.5% 8.2% 10.6% 15.3% 34.0%
Jackson McCoy 15.6% 14.2% 14.0% 12.0% 10.5% 8.8% 8.9% 6.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.3%
Preston Duclos 9.9% 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 8.5% 10.6% 8.4% 8.6% 10.7% 7.8% 5.3%
Christian Filter 10.6% 12.7% 11.0% 12.2% 10.0% 10.4% 9.3% 8.8% 6.7% 6.0% 2.3%
Nathan Housberg 6.1% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 7.7% 6.0% 8.6% 11.6% 11.4% 15.4% 12.7%
William Bedford 4.6% 4.5% 4.7% 7.1% 6.6% 6.7% 8.8% 8.1% 13.7% 16.9% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.