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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Josh Dochoda 8.9% 11.1% 12.2% 9.2% 12.0% 11.1% 10.3% 10.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.0%
Nicholas Karnovsky 15.4% 14.3% 12.5% 12.1% 11.7% 9.0% 9.4% 6.6% 5.2% 2.9% 0.9%
William Bedford 4.6% 3.7% 5.4% 4.3% 5.6% 6.3% 8.1% 9.4% 13.1% 16.0% 23.5%
Charlie Hibben 7.3% 8.4% 7.1% 9.5% 7.7% 10.5% 11.4% 12.0% 10.1% 9.1% 6.9%
Jackson McCoy 14.3% 14.1% 12.7% 11.8% 11.1% 9.6% 8.6% 6.2% 5.6% 4.1% 1.9%
Preston Duclos 8.0% 9.9% 8.9% 9.0% 11.1% 8.6% 10.1% 10.3% 10.0% 8.8% 5.3%
Peter Lynn 12.3% 12.2% 11.7% 11.3% 10.6% 10.5% 8.9% 8.2% 6.2% 4.8% 3.3%
John Ped 7.0% 4.9% 8.1% 8.9% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 10.6% 9.3% 14.2% 10.0%
Nathan Housberg 5.9% 4.8% 6.6% 6.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.9% 11.2% 12.6% 12.9% 16.2%
Christian Filter 13.0% 12.3% 11.3% 12.7% 9.6% 10.8% 8.6% 8.0% 7.8% 3.6% 2.3%
Christophe Chaumont 3.3% 4.3% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 6.0% 7.2% 12.2% 18.6% 27.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.