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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+4.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+2.47vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+4.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+2.19vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14-0.37vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-0.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90-1.99vs Predicted
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82.31-1.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.20-1.86vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-5.09vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.67-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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7.8Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.63Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.612.310.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.91Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.11Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 15.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| William Bedford | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 23.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| John Ped | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 10.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 16.2% |
| Christian Filter | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.