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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.92vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+3.16vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+1.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.90+1.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14-0.39vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97-0.93vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+0.50vs Predicted
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82.31-1.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61-2.93vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.20-3.09vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.67-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.64Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.61Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.07Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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6.612.310.1%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Peter Lynn | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Christian Filter | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| William Bedford | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| John Ped | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.