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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+3.68vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.95+5.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+3.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+1.21vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.91+0.22vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.90-0.74vs Predicted
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72.31-0.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.35vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.20-1.87vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-5.63vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.67-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.21Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.562.310.1%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.37Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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8.1Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| William Bedford | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 20.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Christian Filter | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Josh Dochoda | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| John Ped | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 16.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 16.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.