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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+4.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+3.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.20+4.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+2.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14-0.38vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+1.65vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90-1.96vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97-3.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.67-0.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-5.61vs Predicted
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112.31-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.15Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.62Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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5.04Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.95Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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4.39Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.562.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% |
| Charlie Hibben | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| William Bedford | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 21.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Christian Filter | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 33.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| John Ped | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.