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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+4.29vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+3.03vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+4.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+2.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+0.95vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14-1.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.67+1.07vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.90-2.89vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.20-1.91vs Predicted
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102.31-3.36vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.07Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.11Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.642.310.1%1st Place
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4.32Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Christian Filter | 12.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| William Bedford | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 24.3% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 29.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% |
| John Ped | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.