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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.97+4.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+3.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.01vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14+0.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.20+2.06vs Predicted
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62.31+0.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.91-1.97vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.95-0.48vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-4.45vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.67-1.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.90-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.78Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.782.310.1%1st Place
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5.03Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.52Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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4.55Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.02Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Filter | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Jackson McCoy | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% |
| John Ped | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% |
| Josh Dochoda | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| William Bedford | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 21.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 14.7% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 31.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.