← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Filter 10.2% 11.6% 10.8% 12.3% 11.7% 9.6% 10.4% 10.5% 6.2% 4.7% 2.0%
Charlie Hibben 8.7% 8.2% 9.1% 9.5% 9.4% 8.6% 11.6% 8.9% 10.3% 10.1% 5.6%
Preston Duclos 8.4% 8.1% 8.8% 8.6% 9.4% 10.2% 10.3% 9.8% 12.6% 8.6% 5.2%
Jackson McCoy 13.4% 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 13.1% 9.5% 8.6% 7.9% 6.4% 3.4% 1.6%
Nathan Housberg 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 5.4% 7.5% 9.3% 6.4% 11.4% 11.4% 15.0% 15.0%
John Ped 6.0% 6.8% 6.4% 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 9.9% 10.0% 12.1% 12.9% 11.9%
Josh Dochoda 12.6% 11.5% 12.9% 10.3% 10.3% 9.5% 9.8% 8.6% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1%
William Bedford 5.0% 4.4% 4.3% 5.9% 8.0% 7.1% 8.4% 9.2% 11.3% 15.2% 21.2%
Nicholas Karnovsky 14.7% 14.9% 13.1% 12.3% 7.7% 10.8% 8.5% 8.7% 4.6% 3.7% 1.0%
Christophe Chaumont 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.7% 11.3% 16.2% 31.1%
Peter Lynn 12.0% 12.5% 12.1% 10.5% 10.0% 10.9% 8.8% 8.3% 7.7% 4.9% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.