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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+3.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+3.97vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+4.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+0.62vs Predicted
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52.31+1.76vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-0.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90-1.96vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-2.94vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.20-1.85vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-5.08vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.67-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.762.310.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.04Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.92Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.12Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| William Bedford | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| John Ped | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% |
| Christian Filter | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.