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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jackson McCoy 14.4% 14.6% 13.1% 11.7% 11.1% 11.0% 10.4% 5.5% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8%
Michael Sabourin 5.7% 5.0% 5.5% 7.3% 6.9% 8.8% 9.5% 9.7% 12.7% 14.4% 14.5%
Samuel Merson 8.6% 8.7% 8.2% 9.9% 9.8% 9.5% 9.7% 12.0% 10.3% 7.9% 5.4%
Christian Filter 11.7% 12.1% 10.8% 11.0% 11.6% 11.7% 10.4% 8.2% 5.8% 4.2% 2.5%
Nathan Housberg 5.9% 7.2% 7.2% 6.0% 8.0% 8.3% 9.7% 10.4% 11.1% 13.8% 12.4%
Nicholas Karnovsky 16.6% 14.7% 14.4% 11.9% 11.6% 7.0% 8.4% 5.6% 5.1% 3.8% 0.9%
Peter Lynn 13.4% 12.0% 13.8% 12.1% 9.5% 9.0% 9.6% 8.3% 6.7% 3.4% 2.2%
John Ped 7.0% 6.6% 7.4% 9.2% 8.8% 10.2% 8.7% 11.3% 9.5% 11.2% 10.1%
Preston Duclos 8.9% 10.8% 9.2% 8.7% 11.4% 11.1% 9.2% 9.5% 9.4% 7.1% 4.7%
Christophe Chaumont 3.5% 3.8% 5.6% 4.2% 5.4% 6.8% 7.3% 8.7% 11.0% 15.5% 28.2%
Harris Padegs 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 8.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 10.8% 13.4% 16.3% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.