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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+3.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.10+5.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+2.91vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.97+1.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.20+1.81vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-1.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90-2.19vs Predicted
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82.31-1.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-3.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.67-2.03vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.85-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.01Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.34Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.81Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.442.310.1%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Christian Filter | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 12.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 16.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| John Ped | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 28.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.