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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.09+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.56+1.17vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.09+3.27vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.07+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.440.00vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.97-3.25vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.91-0.97vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.92-2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.57-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Marquette University-0.0911.6%1st Place
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3.17University of Wisconsin0.5622.5%1st Place
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6.27Marquette University-1.094.9%1st Place
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6.2Purdue University-1.075.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Michigan-0.448.2%1st Place
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2.75Michigan Technological University0.9729.9%1st Place
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6.03Grand Valley State University-0.915.2%1st Place
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5.94Michigan Technological University-0.926.2%1st Place
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5.34University of Chicago-0.576.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Caden Harrison | 22.5% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Karle | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| Glen Warren | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 29.9% | 22.9% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Reed Rossell | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| Joshua Hacker | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 18.3% |
| James Klancnik | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.