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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.12+2.54vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.97+1.72vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.30+0.27vs Predicted
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4American University0.59+1.78vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.16-1.47vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.93-3.55vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Washington College2.120.2%1st Place
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3.72Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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3.27College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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5.78American University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.53Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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2.45College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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5.73Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadley Burnham | 15.6% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 3.8% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 19.7% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Nicole Hause | 17.6% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| Leigh Cramer | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 29.3% | 41.5% |
| Drew Lisicki | 14.7% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Warren | 34.1% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Robert Dye | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 27.0% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.