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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Merson 7.6% 8.4% 9.7% 9.1% 10.1% 11.1% 11.7% 11.9% 8.3% 7.3% 4.8%
Jackson McCoy 15.3% 15.2% 14.0% 12.2% 10.7% 9.9% 8.8% 5.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
Christian Filter 11.6% 11.5% 11.7% 12.3% 10.6% 11.4% 8.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.9% 1.7%
John Ped 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 7.1% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 12.9% 10.8% 12.0% 10.8%
Nicholas Karnovsky 17.1% 15.8% 12.4% 12.9% 11.5% 8.3% 7.6% 5.9% 4.4% 3.2% 0.9%
Peter Lynn 11.2% 12.7% 11.0% 12.3% 9.3% 11.9% 9.8% 6.9% 6.6% 5.5% 2.8%
Nathan Housberg 7.1% 5.8% 7.1% 6.7% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 9.0% 13.0% 11.6% 11.2%
Preston Duclos 9.7% 9.8% 11.6% 10.4% 11.0% 9.2% 8.3% 9.5% 10.9% 5.8% 3.8%
Harris Padegs 4.6% 4.7% 4.3% 4.8% 6.3% 6.1% 7.7% 10.6% 10.8% 16.5% 23.6%
Michael Sabourin 6.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 9.9% 10.2% 12.3% 13.7% 13.4%
Christophe Chaumont 3.4% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 5.3% 6.1% 8.4% 8.1% 10.7% 17.3% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.