Race 11A

hood

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Merson 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 9.1% 10.4% 10.8% 11.4% 10.7% 9.7% 7.9% 4.0%
Christian Filter 13.3% 12.7% 12.2% 10.9% 11.0% 11.1% 9.7% 7.0% 7.1% 3.5% 1.5%
Michael Sabourin 5.1% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 8.2% 7.4% 11.2% 14.4% 14.2% 15.7%
Jackson McCoy 13.7% 13.7% 12.7% 12.0% 12.9% 10.7% 7.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4%
Harris Padegs 4.3% 5.0% 4.6% 6.2% 5.4% 6.3% 9.3% 8.7% 11.5% 15.7% 23.0%
John Ped 6.7% 6.1% 9.0% 7.0% 7.8% 9.3% 9.2% 11.7% 12.4% 10.4% 10.4%
Preston Duclos 10.6% 9.9% 10.2% 10.9% 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 8.8% 7.6% 6.0% 4.5%
Nicholas Karnovsky 17.8% 16.4% 13.8% 12.8% 10.0% 8.5% 8.0% 6.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Peter Lynn 11.1% 12.0% 10.3% 12.8% 9.6% 10.8% 10.4% 8.5% 6.3% 6.3% 1.9%
Nathan Housberg 6.8% 6.8% 6.6% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 10.7% 10.3% 10.4% 13.9% 10.8%
Christophe Chaumont 3.7% 3.7% 4.4% 4.9% 6.8% 5.3% 6.9% 9.0% 12.1% 17.2% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.