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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.57vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.89+2.43vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.80vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+3.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.28vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-2.41vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.58+0.77vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.02+0.57vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.26-0.99vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.47-2.53vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52-6.41vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.46-2.11vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-3.14vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.47-6.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.89-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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4.43Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.8Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.48Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.28SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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3.59Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.77Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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9.57Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.01Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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8.47Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.59Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.89Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.86Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.47Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Paper | 20.3% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.5% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 9.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.