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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.52vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.89+2.41vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.77vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80+2.47vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.58+2.17vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.27vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+2.79vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-5.45vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.26-1.04vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.47-2.52vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52-6.47vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.47-4.52vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.02-4.36vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.46-4.27vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.89-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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4.41Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.77Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.47Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.17Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.27SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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10.79Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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3.55Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.96Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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8.48Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.53Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.48Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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9.64Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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10.73Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Paper | 20.5% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 14.5% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.8% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.0% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.