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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.89+3.49vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.45vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.80+4.46vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.29vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52-0.41vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.31vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-0.02vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+2.06vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.02-1.23vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-4.02vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.46-2.08vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.58-5.92vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.26-6.08vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.89-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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3.45Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.46Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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3.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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7.29SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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5.59Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.69Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.98Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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11.06Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.77Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.98Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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10.92Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.08Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.92Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 13.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 22.7% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 19.2% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 12.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.