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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.89+3.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.46vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.80+4.44vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.42vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.28vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.02+3.78vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.28vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.58-0.01vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.52-4.42vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59-2.87vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-3.87vs Predicted
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13Villanova University0.26-3.94vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-3.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.89-3.31vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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7.44Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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3.58Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.28SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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9.78Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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4.72Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.99Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.58Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.13Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.13Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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9.06Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.88Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.89Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 13.0% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 22.4% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 19.4% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.