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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.44+1.72vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.80-0.34vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-2.34+4.43vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.29+0.66vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.70+1.23vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.68+0.25vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.61-2.83vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.70-2.21vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-2.18-1.94vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of Michigan0.4420.1%1st Place
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1.66Michigan Technological University0.8056.2%1st Place
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7.43Unknown School-2.340.9%1st Place
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4.66Michigan Technological University-2.295.2%1st Place
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6.23Grand Valley State University-1.702.4%1st Place
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6.25Michigan State University-1.682.7%1st Place
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4.17Unknown School-0.617.6%1st Place
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5.79Michigan Technological University-1.703.2%1st Place
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7.06Northern Michigan University-2.181.4%1st Place
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9.01Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lila Torresen | 20.1% | 30.2% | 23.6% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Nick Myneni | 56.2% | 27.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alex Schlotterer | 0.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 25.9% | 14.3% |
Astrid Myhre | 5.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Nathaniel Bacheller | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 3.9% |
George Prokop | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 4.5% |
Kate Sorbie | 7.6% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Hannah Monville | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
Leo Barch | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 10.9% |
Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.