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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lila Torresen 20.1% 30.2% 23.6% 14.6% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Myneni 56.2% 27.6% 11.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Schlotterer 0.9% 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 6.6% 9.5% 13.0% 18.6% 25.9% 14.3%
Astrid Myhre 5.2% 9.9% 14.3% 17.5% 20.1% 14.1% 11.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Nathaniel Bacheller 2.4% 3.4% 7.0% 10.7% 11.8% 14.4% 18.1% 15.8% 12.5% 3.9%
George Prokop 2.7% 3.5% 7.5% 10.3% 11.7% 14.6% 15.0% 16.1% 14.1% 4.5%
Kate Sorbie 7.6% 13.7% 18.4% 19.2% 16.4% 11.9% 7.2% 4.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Hannah Monville 3.2% 5.4% 7.9% 11.4% 14.6% 18.1% 14.6% 13.8% 8.6% 2.4%
Leo Barch 1.4% 3.2% 4.7% 6.4% 8.1% 10.6% 13.9% 18.9% 21.9% 10.9%
Adam Bryan 0.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 3.5% 6.2% 7.3% 13.8% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.