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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+1.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.30+1.24vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.12+0.57vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.16-0.51vs Predicted
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5American University0.59+0.74vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-2.19vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41College of Charleston2.930.4%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.57Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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3.49Clemson University2.160.2%1st Place
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5.74American University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.75Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Warren | 36.0% | 24.4% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicole Hause | 17.2% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Hadley Burnham | 12.8% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Drew Lisicki | 16.1% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Leigh Cramer | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 29.7% | 40.6% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Robert Dye | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 26.8% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.