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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.43vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.30vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.66vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+1.30vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.14vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80+1.40vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.58+0.64vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-0.12vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.26-0.11vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.11-3.54vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59-3.12vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.46-2.16vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.02-4.45vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-4.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-0.89-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.2%1st Place
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3.3Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.66Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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5.3Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.14SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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7.4Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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7.64Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.88Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.89Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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6.46Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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7.88Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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10.84Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.55Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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10.85Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Paper | 22.7% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 24.4% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 7.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.