Race 11A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Roleke 11.6% 12.3% 13.4% 12.6% 11.8% 10.4% 10.4% 7.3% 5.5% 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.7% 3.9% 4.3% 6.1% 6.5% 8.6% 8.9% 10.9% 10.6% 13.9% 11.7% 7.6% 3.3% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 22.1% 18.0% 16.8% 14.9% 10.5% 7.4% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 3.9% 5.4% 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 9.3% 10.0% 11.7% 11.5% 12.0% 9.3% 5.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 4.2% 4.1% 4.6% 6.7% 6.1% 7.8% 9.1% 10.3% 13.2% 11.9% 11.1% 7.2% 3.7% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 2.7% 3.0% 3.6% 3.2% 4.9% 6.9% 7.7% 9.3% 11.5% 13.3% 14.4% 13.3% 6.2% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.7% 3.9% 4.3% 6.1% 6.5% 8.6% 8.9% 10.9% 10.6% 13.9% 11.7% 7.6% 3.3% 0.0%
Joshua Paper 21.2% 18.9% 18.1% 13.4% 9.5% 7.7% 5.1% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 13.4% 15.8% 12.8% 11.8% 12.2% 12.6% 9.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 8.9% 9.9% 10.2% 9.6% 13.4% 10.9% 11.2% 9.3% 8.2% 4.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.0% 5.4% 6.3% 7.8% 9.4% 7.4% 11.9% 10.4% 11.5% 11.3% 6.8% 4.7% 2.1% 0.0%
Ian Taylor 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 4.2% 4.0% 6.2% 7.5% 9.1% 14.1% 21.4% 25.8% 0.0%
Henry Sanders 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 9.3% 8.0% 12.5% 16.5% 18.2% 12.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Suter 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 3.3% 5.5% 7.0% 10.2% 19.7% 45.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.