Race 12A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joshua Paper 20.5% 17.4% 17.0% 15.0% 10.2% 7.6% 6.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 4.0% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 6.9% 7.7% 9.2% 10.8% 11.6% 13.4% 11.3% 7.7% 3.4% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 11.1% 12.4% 12.7% 12.9% 12.8% 10.4% 10.4% 8.4% 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 20.8% 19.6% 16.5% 13.4% 10.6% 6.9% 7.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 8.9% 8.1% 7.8% 10.4% 11.9% 11.2% 9.7% 9.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 7.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.4% 11.8% 12.4% 11.7% 8.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 10.5% 10.8% 10.9% 8.9% 10.5% 12.8% 10.7% 9.5% 6.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Taylor 0.9% 2.2% 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 3.1% 2.1% 5.2% 6.3% 10.8% 13.3% 23.4% 26.8% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 12.4% 14.3% 14.4% 12.5% 12.5% 10.7% 8.0% 6.9% 5.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Sunkler 5.6% 4.1% 5.7% 6.9% 7.6% 10.3% 10.2% 11.2% 11.5% 9.9% 9.6% 5.0% 2.4% 0.0%
Henry Sanders 2.0% 1.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.9% 6.5% 8.3% 11.9% 13.2% 14.9% 15.4% 9.9% 0.0%
Jennifer Suter 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 3.4% 5.5% 7.1% 9.8% 19.5% 45.4% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 7.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.4% 11.8% 12.4% 11.7% 8.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 5.0% 6.8% 7.3% 8.8% 11.1% 12.8% 14.6% 15.1% 7.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.