Race 14A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew Roleke 12.4% 13.0% 12.0% 14.9% 10.9% 12.9% 8.3% 7.4% 4.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.7% 11.2% 14.6% 12.5% 12.2% 4.3% 0.0%
Joshua Paper 23.2% 18.8% 15.7% 15.0% 10.6% 8.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 7.2% 8.6% 10.2% 11.4% 12.4% 11.0% 11.8% 9.8% 7.6% 6.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.6% 4.4% 5.3% 5.6% 7.2% 9.2% 9.4% 10.6% 12.2% 13.6% 11.7% 7.2% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 10.6% 9.5% 12.5% 9.7% 12.8% 11.9% 11.3% 8.4% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.7% 11.2% 14.6% 12.5% 12.2% 4.3% 0.0%
William Sunkler 5.2% 4.8% 7.5% 6.8% 10.1% 8.2% 11.1% 12.4% 12.2% 10.3% 8.4% 3.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 6.9% 5.5% 7.4% 8.3% 7.8% 9.1% 11.7% 12.5% 11.4% 9.4% 7.1% 2.9% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 22.5% 24.3% 16.7% 12.0% 9.2% 7.5% 3.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Suter 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.8% 5.6% 8.5% 17.7% 51.7% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 2.7% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 4.9% 6.4% 8.8% 8.7% 12.0% 16.5% 16.2% 13.0% 0.0%
Henry Sanders 1.6% 3.4% 2.7% 3.4% 3.3% 4.4% 7.7% 9.1% 11.7% 14.9% 20.7% 17.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.