Race 15A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joshua Paper 22.2% 19.7% 17.9% 13.7% 10.2% 7.0% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Liliana Loosbrock 8.6% 12.6% 10.6% 11.6% 13.4% 10.7% 9.2% 11.1% 5.8% 4.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 6.5% 5.2% 5.9% 7.7% 8.1% 9.9% 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 10.4% 7.8% 2.4% 0.0%
William Sunkler 3.5% 6.3% 5.2% 8.4% 8.3% 11.8% 11.5% 9.8% 12.3% 10.3% 8.2% 4.4% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 12.8% 14.5% 13.9% 12.3% 10.9% 11.6% 8.8% 5.8% 5.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 3.4% 2.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.5% 4.3% 6.9% 11.3% 12.4% 13.6% 19.9% 11.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 4.4% 3.8% 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 8.1% 10.6% 9.5% 12.3% 14.9% 11.7% 5.0% 0.0%
Henry Sanders 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 3.8% 5.2% 5.4% 5.7% 8.3% 10.7% 15.2% 19.8% 17.4% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.7% 4.8% 3.5% 7.3% 7.5% 9.4% 11.8% 12.3% 11.3% 13.8% 10.1% 4.5% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.7% 4.8% 3.5% 7.3% 7.5% 9.4% 11.8% 12.3% 11.3% 13.8% 10.1% 4.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Suter 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 3.6% 5.6% 8.9% 15.8% 53.9% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 7.8% 7.6% 10.7% 10.6% 11.2% 11.7% 12.0% 10.5% 8.5% 4.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 24.5% 19.4% 16.0% 11.5% 11.2% 7.3% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.