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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.73vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.01vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.26+1.84vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06+3.42vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.78vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05+1.18vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.57-4.06vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.96vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+1.35vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.28-3.46vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.43-2.58vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.42-3.67vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.85-3.72vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.06-6.58vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.12-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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5.01Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.84Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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8.42Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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8.18Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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3.94Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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6.04SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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11.35Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.54Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.42Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.33Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.28Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.42Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 32.7% | 22.9% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 16.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 25.5% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 55.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.