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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.71vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.43+7.23vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.10vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+0.15vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.26-0.06vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06+2.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.17vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.90vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.06-1.47vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.05-2.85vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.28-4.50vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.42-3.62vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.85-3.61vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-3.69vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.12-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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9.23Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.1Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.15Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.94Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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8.53Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.83SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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5.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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8.53Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.15Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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7.5Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.38Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.39Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.31Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 33.2% | 24.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 12.6% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 26.6% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 55.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.