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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+4.07vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+6.13vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.31-0.34vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.26+0.84vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.43+4.38vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.18+2.78vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.97vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.57-5.80vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.42-1.63vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.85-1.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-7.81vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.06-5.87vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-3.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.12-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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8.13Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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2.66Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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4.84Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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9.38Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.78Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.16Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.03SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.2Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.37Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.36Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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8.13Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.62U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 33.4% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 9.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 27.3% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 56.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.