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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.09+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.56+1.18vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.92+2.99vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.97-1.37vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.07+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.57-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.44-2.09vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.91-2.03vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.09-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Marquette University-0.0911.3%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin0.5623.2%1st Place
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5.99Michigan Technological University-0.925.2%1st Place
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2.63Michigan Technological University0.9730.8%1st Place
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6.29Purdue University-1.074.4%1st Place
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5.34University of Chicago-0.576.8%1st Place
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4.91University of Michigan-0.449.8%1st Place
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5.97Grand Valley State University-0.915.5%1st Place
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6.42Marquette University-1.093.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eli Erling | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Caden Harrison | 23.2% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Joshua Hacker | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
Lucas Rodenroth | 30.8% | 23.4% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Henrik Stjernfeldt | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 22.6% |
James Klancnik | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
Glen Warren | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
Reed Rossell | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
Benjamin Karle | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.