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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.30+2.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.93+0.38vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.16+0.51vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.12-0.42vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-1.15vs Predicted
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6American University0.59-0.30vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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2.38College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.51Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.58Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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3.85Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.7American University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.75Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Hause | 18.8% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Warren | 34.7% | 25.8% | 19.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Drew Lisicki | 14.5% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Hadley Burnham | 15.0% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 10.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 13.1% | 5.5% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 29.2% | 39.5% |
| Robert Dye | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 25.4% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.