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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.26+3.79vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.31+0.64vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.85+7.24vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+4.32vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.12vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.57-2.80vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.08vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.82vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.42-0.68vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.28-3.52vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-3.68vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.18-4.32vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.43-4.72vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-3.82vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.12-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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2.64Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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10.24Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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8.32Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.12SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.2Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.92Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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9.32Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.48Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.32Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.68Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.28Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.18Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Hart | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 32.8% | 24.2% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 13.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 24.5% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 56.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.