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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.88vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+4.09vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+1.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.74vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.47vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26-0.90vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.85+2.20vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.28-1.49vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.42-0.54vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.43-1.51vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-3.47vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.06-4.47vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-2.62vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.18-6.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.12-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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6.09SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.3Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.2%1st Place
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5.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.1Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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10.2Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.51Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.46Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.49Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.53Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.53Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.38Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.69Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 29.0% | 23.8% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.0% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 21.5% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 55.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.