← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.91vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+1.19vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.26+2.06vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+2.30vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University1.57-0.52vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.55vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-0.42+2.21vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech-0.06-0.53vs Predicted
-
10Monmouth University-0.85+0.50vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University-0.43-1.45vs Predicted
-
12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-0.58vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University0.05-4.77vs Predicted
-
14Virginia Tech-0.06-5.53vs Predicted
-
15Syracuse University0.28-7.49vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Military Academy-2.12-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.91Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
-
3.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.2%1st Place
-
5.06Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.3SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
-
4.48Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
-
5.45Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
9.21Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.47Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.5Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
-
9.55Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.42Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
-
8.23Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
-
8.47Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.51Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
-
12.71U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 29.5% | 23.2% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 23.7% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 26.4% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 17.3% | 56.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.