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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.88vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.20vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.26+2.06vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+2.29vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.57-0.53vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.85+4.57vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.43+2.22vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.70vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.42+0.46vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.28-2.28vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.05-2.72vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.06-4.46vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.06-5.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.12-2.31vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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5.2Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.06Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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6.29SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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4.47Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.57Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.22Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.2%1st Place
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9.46Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.72Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.28Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.54Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.54Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.34Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 29.2% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 12.0% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 23.0% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 16.5% | 58.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 26.9% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.