Race 10B

luce

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Javier Gonzalez Rotge 27.9% 20.1% 19.4% 14.4% 8.0% 5.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Gillette 12.9% 13.7% 14.7% 14.4% 13.5% 10.8% 9.2% 6.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 6.8% 9.7% 11.7% 11.5% 14.0% 12.8% 11.5% 9.6% 7.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 5.4% 6.8% 8.0% 9.6% 11.7% 11.4% 13.3% 11.7% 9.4% 7.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Paul Hart 10.7% 9.9% 13.0% 11.5% 11.6% 12.7% 12.6% 8.9% 5.1% 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 22.9% 23.3% 14.6% 13.7% 11.0% 7.3% 4.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Trentham 4.9% 4.0% 4.5% 6.4% 7.8% 9.6% 9.7% 13.2% 13.8% 12.8% 9.0% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.2% 4.0% 3.4% 3.4% 5.5% 7.9% 9.6% 11.6% 14.3% 15.8% 13.7% 7.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 5.9% 6.0% 7.6% 11.7% 16.3% 19.7% 16.8% 2.5% 0.0%
Abigail Proko 1.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 4.9% 8.2% 8.3% 12.5% 15.3% 18.0% 14.2% 4.5% 0.0%
Zak Dasaro 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 6.8% 6.8% 8.8% 8.9% 14.7% 13.5% 12.3% 11.8% 5.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Wilson 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 3.2% 4.6% 6.2% 9.2% 16.3% 37.2% 15.7% 0.0%
Clara Bartram 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 5.2% 12.9% 75.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.2% 4.0% 3.4% 3.4% 5.5% 7.9% 9.6% 11.6% 14.3% 15.8% 13.7% 7.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.