Race 11B

luce

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jessica Bennett 25.9% 22.4% 17.2% 14.9% 9.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Javier Gonzalez Rotge 31.6% 24.2% 17.8% 12.5% 6.8% 4.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.6% 7.1% 8.9% 10.1% 12.6% 12.1% 12.6% 13.3% 7.0% 2.0% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 6.2% 7.8% 8.9% 11.3% 13.5% 11.7% 10.8% 9.7% 9.2% 6.3% 3.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Tiernan 3.4% 4.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.6% 12.1% 12.5% 12.0% 9.6% 6.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Isabel De La Torre 1.7% 2.8% 4.5% 4.1% 5.6% 7.4% 9.9% 9.6% 11.5% 15.1% 13.8% 11.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 10.9% 11.1% 12.8% 13.2% 12.2% 13.5% 9.3% 7.7% 5.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Hart 10.0% 12.7% 14.8% 13.3% 14.4% 13.0% 9.2% 5.3% 4.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.6% 7.1% 8.9% 10.1% 12.6% 12.1% 12.6% 13.3% 7.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Chris Trentham 3.4% 4.8% 6.2% 7.2% 7.4% 9.3% 13.6% 12.7% 11.4% 10.0% 9.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Connor Larson 2.4% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 5.5% 7.8% 9.6% 11.9% 11.3% 13.8% 12.5% 9.8% 3.5% 0.0%
Abigail Proko 1.2% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 6.4% 6.7% 7.6% 10.7% 11.6% 13.9% 15.3% 11.9% 4.6% 0.0%
Benjamin Wilson 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 4.2% 4.2% 7.0% 7.2% 13.0% 31.1% 24.5% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 4.4% 6.8% 18.2% 60.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.