Race 12B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Javier Gonzalez Rotge 32.3% 23.9% 17.8% 11.5% 7.5% 3.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Hart 11.4% 11.3% 12.9% 15.5% 13.7% 12.8% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 5.0% 7.8% 10.0% 10.7% 12.7% 12.0% 13.7% 10.2% 7.0% 6.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 9.7% 10.2% 11.8% 13.9% 13.2% 13.3% 10.3% 8.8% 4.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.2% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 7.8% 8.3% 9.1% 10.1% 14.0% 12.1% 12.0% 7.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Brian Tiernan 2.7% 5.4% 4.6% 6.4% 7.4% 9.8% 10.1% 13.0% 12.5% 11.4% 9.4% 6.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 25.5% 23.2% 17.5% 13.7% 9.4% 6.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Proko 1.8% 3.3% 2.6% 3.8% 4.7% 4.5% 8.9% 9.5% 13.1% 14.5% 14.0% 14.9% 4.4% 0.0%
Connor Larson 2.4% 2.5% 4.5% 4.3% 6.3% 6.3% 9.0% 11.8% 12.4% 11.5% 16.8% 8.9% 3.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Wilson 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.1% 2.5% 3.0% 4.4% 7.3% 9.0% 15.0% 27.5% 23.3% 0.0%
Chris Trentham 3.5% 4.6% 8.5% 7.3% 8.5% 11.3% 12.6% 12.4% 10.8% 10.2% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Isabel De La Torre 1.7% 2.3% 3.8% 4.7% 5.0% 8.2% 7.6% 8.8% 11.9% 15.2% 14.7% 12.8% 3.3% 0.0%
Nathan Gibson 3.2% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 7.8% 8.3% 9.1% 10.1% 14.0% 12.1% 12.0% 7.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 4.2% 6.3% 17.7% 61.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.