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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.46vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.61vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.26+1.44vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.69vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.36vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.24+2.22vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06-0.38vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.42-0.37vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.28-3.04vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.18-2.94vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.11-4.89vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.06-5.38vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-3.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.12-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Christopher Newport University2.310.4%1st Place
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5.61SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.44Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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4.69Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
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8.22Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.62Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.63Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.96Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.06Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.11Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.62Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.64Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 36.2% | 24.8% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 29.5% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 18.4% | 60.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.