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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.30+2.25vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.93+0.37vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.16+0.51vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-0.19vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.12-1.39vs Predicted
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6American University0.59-0.30vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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2.37College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.51Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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3.61Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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5.7American University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.75Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Hause | 18.9% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Warren | 34.6% | 26.1% | 19.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Drew Lisicki | 14.4% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 21.0% | 14.2% | 4.1% |
| Hadley Burnham | 13.1% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 29.3% | 39.2% |
| Robert Dye | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 25.4% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.