← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.56+2.22vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago-0.57+3.36vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.92+2.98vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University0.97-1.40vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-1.07+1.18vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-0.09-1.70vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-1.09-0.65vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-0.44-2.95vs Predicted
-
9Grand Valley State University-0.91-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.22University of Wisconsin0.5621.6%1st Place
-
5.36University of Chicago-0.576.9%1st Place
-
5.98Michigan Technological University-0.925.1%1st Place
-
2.6Michigan Technological University0.9730.7%1st Place
-
6.18Purdue University-1.074.7%1st Place
-
4.3Marquette University-0.0912.8%1st Place
-
6.35Marquette University-1.094.2%1st Place
-
5.05University of Michigan-0.448.7%1st Place
-
5.96Grand Valley State University-0.915.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Harrison | 21.6% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| James Klancnik | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% |
| Joshua Hacker | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 30.7% | 26.5% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
| Eli Erling | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Karle | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 23.7% |
| Glen Warren | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Reed Rossell | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.