← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.43vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.65vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University-0.24+4.97vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.50vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-0.34vs Predicted
-
6Washington College1.26-1.61vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.06+0.40vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University0.11-0.99vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University0.28-3.44vs Predicted
-
11Virginia Tech-0.06-3.60vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.18-4.23vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University-0.42-4.51vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy-2.12-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.43Christopher Newport University2.310.4%1st Place
-
4.65Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.97Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
5.5SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.39Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
-
7.4Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.01Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
-
6.56Syracuse University0.280.0%1st Place
-
7.4Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.77Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.49Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
11.18U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 36.2% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 11.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 22.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 12.4% | 72.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.