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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+3.33vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+5.36vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.71+2.34vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.25vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.42+3.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.86vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05-0.07vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.11-2.16vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.24-2.27vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.26-7.01vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-4.64vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.28-6.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.12-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.2%1st Place
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7.36Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.34Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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4.25Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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8.25Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.14SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.93Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.84Villanova University0.110.1%1st Place
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7.73Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.99Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
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7.36Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.66Syracuse University0.280.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Cutting | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 14.8% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 17.6% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 10.0% | 74.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.