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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.69vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+7.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+5.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.13vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-3.10vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.82+1.48vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-1.28vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-3.52vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.67vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-1.43vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.90-3.81vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-2.66vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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12.34Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 19.3% |
| Emma Marston | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 29.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.