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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+3.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+4.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.84vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.52+4.62vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-2.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-3.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-0.15vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.12-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.90-1.71vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-2.43vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-5.51vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-6.44vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.32-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.32Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 21.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Emma Marston | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.